Modeling nosocomial infection of COVID-19 transmission dynamics
Lemjini Masandawa1, Silas Steven Mirau1, Isambi Sailon Mbalawata2
1School of Computational and Communication Science and Engineering, The Nelson Mandela African Institution of Science and Technology, P.O. Box 447, Arusha, Tanzania.
Abstract:
COVID-19 epidemic has posed an unprecedented threat to global public health. The disease has alarmed the healthcare system with the harm of nosocomial infection. Nosocomial spread of COVID-19 has been discovered and reported globally in different healthcare facilities. Asymptomatic patients and super-spreaders are sough to be among of the source of these infections. Thus, this study contributes to the subject by formulating a mathematical model to gain the insight into nosocomial infection for COVID-19 transmission dynamics. The role of personal protective equipment is studied in the proposed model. Benefiting the next generation matrix method, was computed. Routh-Hurwitz criterion and stable Metzler matrix theory revealed that COVID-19-free equilibrium point is locally and globally asymptotically stable whenever . Lyapunov function depicted that the endemic equilibrium point is globally asymptotically stable when . Further, the dynamics behavior of was explored when varying . In the absence of , the value of was 8.4584 which implies the expansion of the disease. When is introduced in the model, was 0.4229, indicating the decrease of the disease in the community. Numerical solutions were simulated by using Runge-Kutta fourth-order method. Global sensitivity analysis is performed to present the most significant parameter. The numerical results illustrated mathematically that personal protective equipment can minimizes nosocomial infections of COVID-19.
More Related Videos
Related Concept Videos
Infection
The chain begins with pathogens: bacteria, viruses, fungi, prions, or parasites such as protozoa helminths. These can be present on the skin as transient or resident flora, or they can be acquired from the environment. Identifying and treating the type of infection and...
Transmission-based Precautions I: Contact, Enteric, and Droplets
Contact Precautions:
Contact precautions are the measures taken to prevent the transmission of infectious agents, especially epidemiologically important microorganisms such as MRSA or influenza, primarily transmitted through direct or indirect contact with an...
Transmission-based Precautions II: Airborne and Protective Environment
Airborne precautions:
Use airborne precautions when treating patients known or suspected to have diseases that spread through the air—for example, tuberculosis or measles. These organisms are present in smaller droplets expelled by an infected person and...
Steps in Outbreak Investigation
Healthcare Associated Infections I: Iatrogenic, Exogenic and Endogenic
HAIs significantly increase the cost of health care. Extended stays in healthcare institutions, increased disability, increased costs of medications, including specialized antibiotics, and prolonged recovery times add to the patient's expenses and the healthcare institution and funding bodies.
Factors Affecting the Risk of Infection
The integrity and count of the white blood cells help the body resist pathogens and fight infection. When impaired, it reduces the body's resistance to pathogens. The acidic pH levels of the gastrointestinal, genitourinary tracts, and skin...


