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Accelerating Mountain Forest Dynamics in the Alps.

Dominik Thom1,2,3, Rupert Seidl1,2,4

  • 1Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management Group, School of Life Sciences, Technical University of Munich, Hans-Carl-von-Carlowitz-Platz 2, 85354 Freising, Germany.

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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Forests are changing faster than expected due to climate change and other factors. Unmanaged forest growth may help slow these climate-driven changes, preserving biodiversity and ecosystem services.

Keywords:
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Area of Science:

  • Ecology
  • Forest Science
  • Climate Change Research

Background:

  • Climate change is accelerating ecosystem shifts, impacting forest services and biodiversity.
  • Multiple drivers, including climate, disturbance, and stand legacies, influence forest dynamics.
  • The combined effects of these drivers on forest change remain poorly understood.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To assess forest dynamics over 28 years in Berchtesgaden National Park (BGNP), Germany.
  • To quantify spatiotemporal patterns of forest change and identify key drivers.
  • To investigate the acceleration of forest dynamics and its relationship with climate and legacies.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of high-density forest inventory data from 3759 permanent sample plots (132,866 tree records).
  • Utilized semi-variograms to analyze spatial patterns of change.
  • Employed boosted regression trees to assess the impact of 30 covariates on forest structure and composition indicators.

Main Results:

  • BGNP forests became denser, structurally complex, and species-rich over 28 years.
  • Forest structure changes were more spatially correlated than species composition changes.
  • Change rates accelerated over time, with climate and legacies as primary drivers, exhibiting diverging impacts.

Conclusions:

  • Evidence of accelerating forest dynamics in Alpine mountain forests, with significant biodiversity and ecosystem process implications.
  • Increasing temperatures correlate with accelerated forest change, but high legacy levels can dampen this effect.
  • Unmanaged forest development towards old-growth conditions may counteract climate-driven acceleration, preserving ecosystem functions.