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Divergent Trends in Insect Disturbance Across Europe's Temperate and Boreal Forests.
Tomáš Hlásny1, Roman Modlinger1, Jostein Gohli2,3
1Faculty of Forestry and Wood Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Prague-Suchdol, Czech Republic.
Global Change Biology
|October 29, 2025
Summary
Forest insect disturbances are shifting, with increased borer impact on gymnosperms and decreased defoliator impact. Warmer, drier conditions intensify these insect herbivory events across Europe.
Area of Science:
- Ecology
- Forestry
- Entomology
Background:
- Climate and land-use changes are altering forest insect herbivore interactions and biotic disturbance regimes.
- Understanding these complex, variable changes across host species, insect taxa, and feeding guilds is crucial.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze long-term trends (2000-2022) in European forest insect disturbance dynamics.
- To determine how disturbance varies with host trees, feeding guilds, latitude, and climate.
- To investigate synchrony in insect disturbance patterns.
Main Methods:
- Compiled annual forest insect disturbance records from 15 European countries (2000-2022).
- Analyzed 1361 time series for 50 herbivorous insect species.
- Tested for systematic changes, climatic/latitudinal variations, and inter-species synchrony.
Main Results:
- Borer disturbance predominantly affected gymnosperms (largely Ips typographus), while defoliators impacted gymnosperms and angiosperms more evenly.
- Borer impact on gymnosperms increased, while defoliator impact decreased in the 21st century.
- Disturbance was higher in warmer, drier conditions; significant synchrony was found within host types and feeding guilds.
Conclusions:
- Insect herbivory trends diverge temporally but are linked to climate conditions.
- Increasing gymnosperm disturbance may drive forest composition shifts towards broadleaved trees.
- Enhanced monitoring and research are vital to understand mechanisms and emerging threats in forest insect herbivory.
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