Modeling Mood Polarity and Declaration Occurrence by Neural Temporal Point Processes

Neural point processes provide the flexibility needed to deal with time series of heterogeneous nature within the robust framework of point processes. This aspect is of particular relevance when dealing with real-world data, mixing generative processes characterized by radically different distributions and sampling. This brief discusses a neural point process approach for health and behavioral data, comprising both sparse events coming from user subjective declarations as well as fast-flowing time series from wearable sensors. We propose and empirically validate different neural architectures and we assess the effect of including input sources of different nature. The empirical analysis is built on the top of a challenging original dataset, never published before, and collected as part of a real-world experiment in an uncontrolled setting. Results show the potential of neural point processes both in terms of predicting the next event type as well as in predicting the time to next user interaction.