A New Compartment Model of COVID-19 Transmission: The Broken-Link Model

Yoichi Ikeda1,2, Kenji Sasaki2, Takashi Nakano2,3

  • 1Department of Physics, Faculty of Science, Kyushu University, Fukuoka 819-0395, Japan.

Summary

A new broken-link model for COVID-19 spread reveals that unconnected infectious links suppress transmission. This model explains real-world data, showing epicurve shapes depend on link probability and case magnitudes relate to the basic reproduction number R0.

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