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Effects of the economic recession on suicide mortality in Brazil: interrupted time series analysis
Daniela Cristina Moreira Marculino de Figueiredo1, Pablo Sanchéz-Villegas2, Alexandre Medeiros de Figueiredo1
1Universidade Federal da Paraíba. João Pessoa, Paraíba, Brazil.
Objectives:
to analyze trends in suicide rates in Brazil in the period before and after the start of the economic recession.
Methods:
interrupted time series research using national suicide data recorded in the period between 2012 and 2017 with socioeconomic subgroups analyses. Quasi-Poisson regression model was employed to analyze trends in seasonally adjusted data.
Results:
there was an abrupt increase in the risk of suicide after economic recession in the population with less education (12.5%; RR = 1.125; 95%CI: 1.027; 1.232) and in the South Region (17.7%; 1.044; 1.328). After an abrupt reduction, there was a progressive increase in risk for the black and brown population and for those with higher education. In most other population strata, there was a progressive increase in the risk of suicide.
Conclusions:
the Brazilian economic recession caused different effects on suicide rates, considering social strata, which requires health strategies and policies that are sensitive to the most vulnerable populations.
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