Short-term effect of PM2.5 on stroke in susceptible populations: A case-crossover study

Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is a risk factor for stroke, and patients with pre-existing diseases appear to be particularly susceptible. We conducted a case-crossover study to examine the association between short-term exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and hospital admission for stroke in individuals with atrial fibrillation (AF), hypertension, diabetes, or hyperlipidemia.

Patients diagnosed with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) were recruited from 2015 to 2017 in Chinese Stroke Center Alliances. We estimated daily PM2.5 average exposures with a spatial resolution of 0.1° using a data assimilation approach combining satellite measurements, air model simulations, and monitoring values. Conditional logistic regression was used to assess PM2.5-related stroke risk in patients with pre-existing medical co-morbidities.

A total of 155,616 patients diagnosed with AIS were admitted. Patients with a history of AF (n = 15,430), hypertension (n = 138,220), diabetes (n = 43,737), or hyperlipidemia (n = 16,855) were assessed separately. A 10 µg/m³ increase in daily PM2.5 was associated with a significant increase in AIS for individuals with AF at lag 4 (odds ratio (OR), 1.008; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.002-1.014), and with hypertension (OR, 1.008; 95% CI, 1.006-1.010), diabetes (OR, 1.006; 95% CI, 1.003-1.010), and hyperlipidemia (OR, 1.007; 95% CI, 1.001-1.012) at lags 0-7. Elderly (⩾ 65 years old) and female patients with AF had significantly higher associations at lag 5 (OR, 1.009; 95% CI, 1.002-1.015) and lag 5 (OR, 1.010; 95% CI, 1.002-1.018), respectively.

Short-term exposure to PM2.5 is significantly associated with hospital admission for stroke in individuals with pre-existing medical histories, especially in older or female patients with AF. Preventive measures to reduce PM2.5 concentrations are particularly important in individuals with other medical co-morbidities.