Altered functional brain states predict cognitive decline 5 years after a clinically isolated syndrome

Cognitive impairment occurs in the earliest stages of multiple sclerosis (MS) together with altered functional connectivity (FC).

The aim of this study was to investigate the evolution of dynamic FC states in early MS and their role in shaping cognitive decline.

Overall, 32 patients were enrolled after their first neurological episode suggestive of MS and underwent cognitive evaluation and resting-state functional MRI (fMRI) over 5 years. In addition, 28 healthy controls were included at baseline.

Cognitive performance was stable during the first year and declined after 5 years.At baseline, the number of transitions between states was lower in MS compared to controls (p = 0.01). Over time, frequency of high FC states decreased in patients (p = 0.047) and increased in state with low FC (p = 0.035). Cognitive performance at Year 5 was best predicted by the mean connectivity of high FC state at Year 1.

Patients with early MS showed reduced functional network dynamics at baseline. Longitudinal changes showed longer time spent in a state of low FC but less time spent and more connectivity disturbance in more integrative states with high within- and between-network FC. Disturbed FC within this more integrative state was predictive of future cognitive decline.