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Area of Science:

  • Environmental Science
  • Criminology
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Climate-related disasters are increasing globally, disproportionately affecting vulnerable communities.
  • Understanding the geographic distribution of climate disaster risk and its intersection with social factors is crucial.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the relationship between county-level incarceration density and susceptibility to climate-related disasters in the United States.
  • To identify geographic areas with high overlap between these two critical issues.

Main Methods:

  • A descriptive study using 2010 US census data on incarceration rates and Expected Annual Loss (EAL) from natural hazards.
  • Bivariate mapping of incarceration density and EAL, categorized into tertiles, to visualize overlapping high-risk areas.

Main Results:

  • Over 13% of US counties exhibited high incarceration rates and high susceptibility to climate disasters (highest tertile for both metrics).
  • Four states accounted for over 30% of these overlapping high-risk counties.
  • Significant geographic correlation identified between incarceration density and climate disaster vulnerability.

Conclusions:

  • Incarceration density and climate disaster susceptibility represent overlapping and interconnected threats.
  • Concurrent strategies including decarceration, standardized evacuation guidance for incarcerated individuals, and research into health impacts are necessary.
  • Addressing these intertwined issues is vital for community resilience and public health.