[Prognosis Prediction of Lung Cancer Patients Using CT Images: Feature Extraction by Convolutional Neural Network and
Yuki Oshita1, Nonoko Takeuchi2, Atsushi Teramoto3
1Graduate School of Health Sciences, Fujita Health University.
Nihon Hoshasen Gijutsu Gakkai Zasshi
|July 10, 2022
Summary
This study developed a method using convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and machine learning to predict lung cancer patient survival from CT scans. The approach achieved around 80% accuracy in predicting outcomes one to five years post-diagnosis.
Area of Science:
- Medical Imaging Analysis
- Computational Oncology
- Artificial Intelligence in Medicine
Background:
- Lung cancer remains a leading cause of cancer mortality worldwide.
- Accurate prognosis prediction is crucial for patient management and treatment planning.
- Current methods for predicting lung cancer prognosis from CT images have limitations.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and evaluate a novel method for predicting lung cancer patient prognosis using CT images.
- To leverage convolutional neural networks (CNNs) for feature extraction and machine learning for classification.
- To assess the accuracy of the developed method in predicting survival at one- to five-year intervals.
Main Methods:
- Collected CT images from 173 lung cancer patients.
- Utilized CNNs to extract features from the largest tumor slice in each CT scan.
- Applied information gain for feature selection.
- Employed artificial neural networks and Naïve Bayes classifiers to predict survival (alive/death) at yearly intervals (1-5 years).
- Validated the model using three-fold cross-validation.
Main Results:
- The developed method achieved prediction accuracies of approximately 80% for all time points from 1 to 5 years.
- The predicted survival curves closely matched the actual survival curves.
- The combination of CNN-based feature extraction and machine learning classification demonstrated predictive capability.
Conclusions:
- Feature extraction using CNNs combined with machine learning classification shows promise for predicting lung cancer prognosis from CT images.
- This AI-driven approach may enhance the ability to forecast patient outcomes, aiding clinical decision-making.
- Further research can explore refining these methods for improved accuracy and clinical integration.


