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Range dependent expected utility theory based model for NIMBY conflicts in China: An evolutionary game analysis.
Hui Zhao1, Weihan Wang1, Mengran Zhang1
1School of Management Engineering, Qingdao University of Technology, Qingdao, China.
Plos One
|July 12, 2022
Summary
Government and public emotions significantly influence Not In My Backyard (NIMBY) conflicts. Pessimism escalates conflicts, while optimism promotes resolution, with government mood being particularly impactful.
Area of Science:
- Social Sciences
- Game Theory
- Public Policy
Background:
- Not In My Backyard (NIMBY) conflicts are increasingly challenging in international governance.
- Emotional factors significantly impact conflict resolution outcomes for both governments and the public.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the influence of emotions on the evolution of NIMBY conflicts in China.
- To construct a game model incorporating emotional influences and analyze its stability and evolutionary trends.
Main Methods:
- Development of a game model using Range Dependent Expected Utility (RDEU) theory and emotional functions.
- Stability analysis of the equilibrium point using Jacobian matrices.
- Numerical simulations to examine the evolution of discrete emotions.
Main Results:
- Optimistic moods lead to more optimal conflict equilibrium states.
- Pessimistic moods, especially when pronounced, increase the likelihood of NIMBY conflicts.
- Governmental emotions have a more substantial impact on conflict evolution than public sentiments.
Conclusions:
- Emotional states are critical determinants in the dynamics of NIMBY conflicts.
- Governance strategies should consider the emotional landscape of both the public and government officials.
- Recommendations for managing NIMBY conflicts are proposed based on emotional impact analysis.
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