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Increasing climatic decoupling of bird abundances and distributions
Duarte S Viana1,2,3, Jonathan M Chase4,5
1German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany. dviana@ebd.csic.es.
Nature Ecology & Evolution
|July 14, 2022
Summary
North American birds are increasingly mismatched with their changing climate. This climatic decoupling is linked to species traits and is more pronounced in declining bird populations, potentially worsening their outlook.
Area of Science:
- Ecology
- Climate Change Biology
- Conservation Science
Background:
- Species distributions and abundances are shifting due to climate change and human activities.
- Understanding how species track their optimal climate conditions over time is crucial but remains poorly understood.
Purpose of the Study:
- To quantify temporal trends in climate matching for North American bird species over 30 years.
- To investigate if geographical variations in climate/land use change rates or species traits explain differences in these trends.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of a continental-scale, 30-year time series of North American bird data.
- Quantification of temporal trends in species' climate matching.
- Statistical testing of relationships between climate matching trends, rates of environmental change, and species traits.
Main Results:
- Species' abundances and distributions are increasingly decoupled from their changing climate.
- Trends in climate matching varied among species and were related to ecological traits, especially habitat specialization.
- Rates of climate and land use change did not explain variation in climate matching trends.
- Climatic decoupling was more severe in declining bird populations, including threatened species.
Conclusions:
- Bird species are struggling to keep pace with rapid climate change, leading to a growing mismatch with their optimal climatic conditions.
- Habitat specialization is a key factor influencing a species' ability to maintain climate matching.
- The observed climatic decoupling in declining species may create a negative feedback loop, exacerbating population declines through increased exposure to suboptimal climates.
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