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Space and time correlations for diffusion models with prompt and delayed birth-and-death events
Théophile Bonnet1, Davide Mancusi1, Andrea Zoia1
1Université Paris-Saclay, CEA, Service d'Etudes des Réacteurs et de Mathématiques Appliquées, 91191, Gif-sur-Yvette, France.
This study explores population dynamics with birth-and-death events, finding that delayed events and population control can prevent extinction catastrophes in systems like nuclear reactors and epidemic models.
Area of Science:
- Statistical physics
- Mathematical biology
- Applied probability
Background:
- Population dynamics models are crucial for understanding systems like nuclear reactors and epidemics.
- Previous studies highlighted non-Poissonian fluctuations and
- critical catastrophes
- in birth-death processes.
- Constant population size can mitigate extinction risks.
Purpose of the Study:
- To extend the understanding of population dynamics by incorporating delayed birth-and-death events.
- To analyze models with and without population control mechanisms.
- To investigate the impact of these factors on population statistics.
Main Methods:
- Developing analytical and semi-analytical solutions for population density and spatial correlations.
- Utilizing Monte Carlo simulations as a benchmark for validation.
- Comparing results from theoretical models with simulation data.
Main Results:
- Characterizing statistical properties like density and pair distance under new conditions.
- Demonstrating how delayed events and population control influence fluctuations.
- Identifying conditions that avert population extinction.
Conclusions:
- Delayed birth-death events and population control mechanisms offer insights into managing population stability.
- The findings have implications for nuclear reactor diagnostics and epidemic modeling.
- This work provides a more comprehensive framework for analyzing complex population dynamics.
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