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COVID-19 and Conflict: Major Risks and Policy Responses
1Faculty of Business and Economics (HEC Lausanne), University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland.
Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy
|July 26, 2022
Summary
The COVID-19 pandemic may increase political conflict through poverty, education disruption, repression, and reduced interdependence. Policy recommendations are provided to mitigate these risks.
Area of Science:
- Political Science
- Sociology
- Public Health
Background:
- The COVID-19 pandemic presents significant medium- and long-term risks.
- These risks include the potential for increased political conflict and social unrest.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify key COVID-19 consequences that could fuel social tensions and political violence.
- To propose policy recommendations for mitigating these risks.
Main Methods:
- Qualitative analysis of pandemic-related socio-political impacts.
- Identification and discussion of four primary risk factors.
Main Results:
- Four major consequences of COVID-19 identified: increased poverty, educational disruption, potential for repression, and reduced interdependence.
- These factors are analyzed for their potential to exacerbate social tensions and political violence.
Conclusions:
- The COVID-19 pandemic poses a substantial threat to political stability.
- Proactive policy interventions are crucial to address poverty, education, governance, and social cohesion to prevent future conflict.
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