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Decarbonizing residential buildings in the developing world: Historical cases from China
Ran Yan1, Xiwang Xiang1, Weiguang Cai1
1School of Management Science and Real Estate, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400045, PR China.
The Science of the Total Environment
|July 30, 2022
Summary
China's residential buildings show increasing operational carbon emissions, posing a challenge to carbon peak goals. Decarbonization efforts vary regionally, with northern and southwestern China demonstrating higher efficiency.
Area of Science:
- Building energy and environmental performance
- Climate change mitigation strategies
- Sustainable urban development
Background:
- China's extensive residential building stock contributes significantly to operational carbon lock-in, hindering the 2030 carbon peak target.
- Understanding provincial variations in carbon emissions and decarbonization is crucial for effective climate policy.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze provincial carbon changes in residential building operations from 2000 to 2018.
- To identify key factors driving carbon emissions and decarbonization progress.
- To assess decarbonization efficiency across different regions of China.
Main Methods:
- Development and application of the Generalized Divisia Index Method using an 8x14 matrix.
- Analysis of fourteen factors influencing provincial carbon emissions in residential buildings.
- Examination of temporal trends in decarbonization from 2000 to 2018.
Main Results:
- Operational carbon emissions from residential buildings increased by an average of 4.53% annually, driven by expanding floor areas.
- Decarbonization peaks occurred before 2008 in Northern China, around 2014 in Central/Eastern China, and continued to grow in Southern China.
- Northern and Southwestern China exhibited high decarbonization levels (35.06 MtCO2/province) and efficiency (7.05%/province) between 2001-2018.
Conclusions:
- The study refines methods for assessing building operational decarbonization.
- Findings provide insights for governments to investigate building decarbonization potential and implement effective climate policies.
- Regional disparities in decarbonization highlight the need for tailored strategies to achieve China's carbon peak goals.
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