Stability analysis of within-host SARS-CoV-2/HIV coinfection model

Afnan D Al Agha1, Ahmed M Elaiw2,3, Shaimaa A Azoz4

  • 1Department of Mathematical Science, College of Engineering University of Business and Technology Jeddah Saudi Arabia.

Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences
|August 9, 2022
PubMed

Insights

Mathematical modeling of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) coinfection reveals that a weakened immune response increases SARS-CoV-2 viral load, leading to more severe COVID-19 outcomes in coinfected patients.

Area of Science:

  • Virology
  • Mathematical Biology
  • Immunology

Background:

  • The COVID-19 pandemic, caused by SARS-CoV-2, has seen reported coinfections with HIV globally.
  • Understanding SARS-CoV-2/HIV coinfection dynamics is crucial for patient outcomes.
  • Mathematical modeling aids in studying viral dynamics and coinfections.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and analyze a within-host mathematical model for SARS-CoV-2 and HIV coinfection.
  • To investigate the impact of coinfection on viral loads and disease severity.
  • To assess the role of CD4+ T cell immune response in SARS-CoV-2/HIV coinfection.

Main Methods:

  • Development of a mathematical model comprising six ordinary differential equations.
  • Analysis of model solutions for biological acceptability (nonnegativity, boundedness).
  • Computation of steady states, derivation of positivity conditions, and proof of global asymptotic stability using Lyapunov functions.
  • Numerical simulations to support stability analysis.

Main Results:

  • The model demonstrates that a weak CD4+ T cell immune response or low CD4+ T cell counts elevate infected epithelial cells and SARS-CoV-2 viral load.
  • This exacerbates SARS-CoV-2 infection severity in coinfected individuals.
  • Findings align with studies indicating higher COVID-19 severity risk in HIV patients.

Conclusions:

  • Mathematical modeling provides insights into SARS-CoV-2/HIV coinfection dynamics.
  • Impaired CD4+ T cell immunity significantly worsens COVID-19 outcomes in coinfected patients.
  • Further research is needed to elucidate coinfection mechanisms and immune responses.