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Marginal reduction in surface NO2 attributable to airport shutdown: A machine learning regression-based approach.
Bo Han1, Tingwei Yao2, Guojian Li3
1School of Transportation Science and Engineering, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin, China; Research Centre for Environment and Sustainable Development of Civil Aviation Administration of China, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin, China.
Airport emissions significantly impact local air quality, contributing up to 24% of nitrogen dioxide (NO2). A COVID-19 flight ban revealed airport closures reduce NO2 by 18.6%, highlighting aviation
Area of Science:
- Environmental science
- Atmospheric chemistry
- Public health
Background:
- Aviation and airport activities significantly impact air quality, yet receive less attention than other transport sectors.
- Assessing airport emission impacts is challenging due to confounding factors like meteorology.
- COVID-19 flight bans offer a unique opportunity to study airport emission effects.
Purpose of the Study:
- To quantify the impact of civil airport emissions on local nitrogen dioxide (NO2) air quality.
- To evaluate the air quality benefits of airport closures during the COVID-19 pandemic.
- To assess the contribution of airport emissions to overall NO2 levels.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a machine learning predictive model.
- Analyzed observational air quality data from a quasi-natural experiment (flight ban).
- Compared NO2 levels during normal operations versus lockdown periods.
Main Results:
- The total lockdown-induced NO2 reduction was 16.7 μg/m³, a 73% decrease.
- Airport flight bans accounted for a 3.1 μg/m³ NO2 reduction (18.6% of the total lockdown effect).
- Airport emissions contribute up to 24% of local ambient NO2 under normal conditions.
Conclusions:
- Airport-related emissions are a considerable source of local air pollution, particularly NO2.
- Targeting airport emissions can yield significant air quality improvements.
- Regulatory measures must consider aviation's role in meeting air quality standards.
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