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The balancing act: Identifying multivariate sports performance using Pareto frontiers.
Tim Newans1,2, Phillip Bellinger1, Clare Minahan1
1Griffith Sports Science, Griffith University, Gold Coast, QLD, Australia.
Pareto frontiers identify elite athletes balancing multiple, often conflicting, sports metrics. This method highlights players with optimal performance across various attributes, not just single-metric leaders, enhancing talent evaluation in sports like cricket.
Area of Science:
- Sports Science
- Data Analytics
- Performance Optimization
Background:
- Athletes require a complex interplay of physical, physiological, psychological, and skill attributes.
- Conflicting attributes pose challenges for identifying top performers at elite levels.
- Traditional single-metric analysis may overlook athletes with balanced, multi-attribute excellence.
Purpose of the Study:
- To introduce Pareto frontiers as a method for identifying athletes with optimal multi-attribute balance.
- To explore trade-offs between key batting and bowling metrics in Twenty20 cricket.
- To demonstrate the utility of Pareto frontiers in talent assessment.
Main Methods:
- Applied Pareto frontier analysis to batting average vs. strike rate.
- Analyzed bowling strike rate, economy, and average using Pareto frontiers.
- Utilized data from 891 matches across the men's (MBBL) and women's (WBBL) Australian Big Bash Leagues.
Main Results:
- Identified 12 optimal batting innings and 9 optimal careers in MBBL; 7 optimal innings and 6 optimal careers in WBBL.
- Identified 3 optimal bowling innings and 5 optimal careers in MBBL; 3 optimal innings and 6 optimal careers in WBBL.
- Found optimal players who did not lead in any single metric when analyzed univariately.
Conclusions:
- Pareto frontiers effectively identify athletes with a balanced optimal profile across multiple, potentially conflicting, metrics.
- This technique is valuable for talent identification, especially when metrics are uncorrelated or negatively correlated.
- The study showcases Pareto frontiers as a robust tool for multi-metric sports performance analysis.
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