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Published on: May 10, 2022
Country versus pharmaceutical company interests for hepatitis C treatment
Roy Lothan1, Noa Gutman1, Dan Yamin2
1Department of Industrial Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Tel Aviv University, 69978, Tel Aviv, Israel.
Insights
Pharmaceutical companies can increase Hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment revenue by offering quantity discounts, incentivizing countries to increase screening. Risk-sharing agreements benefit countries by linking payment to successful treatment outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Hepatology
- Health Economics
- Game Theory
Background:
- Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection causes significant global health and economic burdens.
- Early-stage HCV is often asymptomatic, leading to delayed diagnosis and treatment.
- Effective HCV treatments exist but are costly, posing accessibility challenges.
Purpose of the Study:
- To model the strategic interactions between pharmaceutical companies and countries regarding HCV treatment pricing and screening.
- To analyze the economic utility for both parties under different pricing and reimbursement strategies.
- To inform policy decisions for optimizing HCV screening and treatment strategies.
Main Methods:
- Development of a game theory model involving a pharmaceutical company (PC) and a country.
- Analytical framework to calculate player utilities based on pricing, screening, and treatment strategies.
- Calibration of the model using detailed HCV data from Israel.
Main Results:
- Pharmaceutical companies can achieve higher revenue through quantity discounts, which indirectly increase country-led screening.
- Risk-sharing agreements, where payment is contingent on successful treatment, are advantageous for countries.
- The study highlights the impact of pricing strategies on screening uptake and treatment accessibility.
Conclusions:
- Policymakers should carefully evaluate pharmaceutical company offers for increased screening, whether direct or via volume-based discounts.
- Risk-sharing models represent a viable strategy for countries to manage the costs of effective HCV treatments.
- The game-theoretic approach is applicable to optimizing screening and treatment strategies in other healthcare contexts.
Abstract:
Hepatitis C virus (HCV) is one of the leading causes of liver disease and is responsible for massive health and economic burden worldwide. The disease is asymptomatic in its early stages, but it can progress over time to fatal end-stage liver disease. Thus, the majority of individuals infected with HCV are unaware of their chronic condition. Recent treatment options for HCV can completely cure the infection but are costly. We developed a game model between a pharmaceutical company (PC) and a country striving to maximize its citizens' utility. First, the PC determines the price of HCV treatment; then, the country responds with corresponding screening and treatment strategies. We employed an analytical framework to calculate the utility of the players for each selected strategy. Calibrated to detailed HCV data from Israel, we found that the PC will gain higher revenue by offering a quantity discount rather than using standard fixed pricing per treatment, by indirectly forcing the country to conduct more screening than it desired. By contrast, risk-sharing agreements, in which the country pays only for successful treatments are beneficial for the country. Our findings underscore that policy makers worldwide should prudently consider recent offers by PCs to increase screening either directly, via covering HCV screening, or indirectly, by providing discounts following a predetermined volume of sales. More broadly, our approach is applicable in other healthcare settings where screening is essential to determine treatment strategies.
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