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Benefit analysis for natural hazards.

V K Smith

    Risk Analysis : an Official Publication of the Society for Risk Analysis
    |September 1, 1986
    PubMed
    Summary
    This summary is machine-generated.

    This study introduces an ex ante framework for analyzing economic benefits of natural hazard policies. It compares this forward-looking approach with past-looking methods to improve risk reduction strategies.

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    Area of Science:

    • Environmental economics
    • Risk management
    • Policy analysis

    Background:

    • Natural hazards pose significant economic risks.
    • Evaluating the effectiveness of mitigation policies is crucial.
    • Existing benefit analysis methods often lack a forward-looking perspective.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To develop an ex ante (before the event) framework for benefit analysis concerning natural hazards.
    • To define and evaluate the economic benefits of policies aimed at reducing natural hazard risks or their impacts.
    • To compare the ex ante perspective with the ex post (after the event) perspective in benefit analysis.

    Main Methods:

    • Conceptual framework development for ex ante benefit analysis.
    • Comparative analysis of ex ante and ex post evaluation perspectives.

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  • Discussion on implementing the framework through valuation concepts.

    • Main Results:

    • The paper establishes a clear definition and methodology for ex ante benefit analysis in natural hazard policy.
    • It highlights the advantages of a forward-looking perspective in assessing policy impacts.
    • The study identifies key valuation concepts for practical implementation.

    Conclusions:

    • The developed ex ante framework offers a more proactive approach to natural hazard risk management.
    • Comparing ex ante and ex post perspectives enhances the understanding of policy benefits.
    • Further research should focus on refining and applying these valuation concepts in real-world scenarios.