Factors associated with refusing surgery versus planned nonoperative management for rectal cancer

Increasingly, patients with rectal cancer receive nonoperative management. A growing body of retrospective evidence supporting the safety of this approach has likely contributed to its growing popularity. However, patients may also undergo nonoperative management because of refusal of surgical resection. We hypothesize that patients who refuse surgery are more likely to be from groups who traditionally face barriers accessing care.

We used the National Cancer Database (2006-2017) to analyze patients with nonmetastatic rectal adenocarcinoma who underwent nonoperative management following radiation. We identified 2 groups: (1) planned nonoperative management and (2) nonoperative management because of refusal of surgery. We performed logistic regression to compare the groups along patient, socioeconomic, and facility-level factors.

In total, 9,613 and 2,039 patients were included in the planned nonoperative management and refused nonoperative management groups, respectively. Of the total study cohort (ie, planned nonoperative management + refused nonoperative management), 21% of these patients diagnosed in 2017 underwent refused nonoperative management, versus 12% in 2006. Patients who were Black (adjusted odds ratio 1.47, 95% confidence interval 1.26-1.71) or Asian/Pacific Islander (adjusted odds ratio 1.51, 95% confidence interval 1.18-1.92), age ≥65 years (adjusted odds ratio 1.55, 95% confidence interval 1.37-1.77), with more advanced disease stage (stage III adjusted odds ratio 1.30, 95% confidence interval 1.10-1.53), and government insurance (adjusted odds ratio 1.19, 95% confidence interval 1.04-1.36) were associated with increased utilization of refused nonoperative management. Conversely, lower education (adjusted odds ratio 0.62, 95% confidence interval 0.50-0.76) and female sex (adjusted odds ratio 0.88, 95% confidence interval 0.79-0.97) were associated with planned nonoperative management.

Our findings suggest that the refused nonoperative management group is demographically distinct. Outreach efforts to better understand the rationale behind patient decision making in rectal cancer will be paramount to ensuring appropriate implementation of nonoperative management.