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Towards a low carbon ASEAN: an environmentally extended MRIO optimization model
Adrianus Amheka1, Hoa Thi Nguyen2, Krista Danielle Yu3
1Department of Mechanical Engineering, State Polytechnic of Kupang, Kupang City, Indonesia. adrianus.amheka@gmail.com.
Carbon Balance and Management
|September 7, 2022
Summary
This study shows that ASEAN nations can achieve economic growth while reducing carbon emissions by focusing on sustainable sectors. Collective emission reduction strategies are most effective for minimizing environmental impact.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Economics
- Climate Change Modeling
- Sustainable Development
Background:
- Economic growth often correlates with increased carbon emissions, impacting global temperatures.
- The ASEAN region, particularly Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam, faces significant climate change risks due to high greenhouse gas emissions.
- International commitments necessitate balancing economic development with emission reduction.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze how ASEAN nations can meet carbon reduction targets while pursuing economic growth.
- To explore the interdependencies between nations in achieving collective or individual carbon emission reduction.
- To develop a multi-regional input-output model for evaluating economic and emission strategies.
Main Methods:
- Development of a multi-regional input-output model.
- Analysis of an eight-sector economy within the ASEAN region.
- Simulation of strategies to minimize collective and individual carbon emissions.
Main Results:
- Minimizing collective carbon emissions is compatible with economic growth.
- Sectors like services, agriculture, and food manufacturing show high growth potential under emission constraints.
- Simultaneous implementation of multiple emission reduction strategies yields the greatest regional emission reductions.
Conclusions:
- Nations' carbon emission reduction varies based on technology and economic development.
- The model provides insights for setting achievable targets and developing tailored policies for priority sectors.
- Future research should explore flexible trade, transport choices, waste management, and hybrid modeling approaches.
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