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Frustration and Conflict: Approach-Approach, Approach-Avoidance01:20

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Diversity and Conflict.

Cemal Eren Arbatli1, Quamrul H Ashraf2, Oded Galor3

  • 1Faculty of Economic Sciences, National Research University Higher School of Economics, 20 Myasnitskaya Street, 101000, Moscow, Russia.

Econometrica : Journal of the Econometric Society
|September 8, 2022
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Interpersonal population diversity, not ethnic fractionalization, drives societal conflicts. Higher diversity within groups correlates with increased risk and intensity of civil wars, historical and modern.

Keywords:
D74N30N40O11O43Social conflictZ13ethnic fractionalizationethnic polarizationinterpersonal trustpolitical preferencespopulation diversity

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Area of Science:

  • Sociology
  • Political Science
  • Anthropology

Background:

  • Societal conflicts are often attributed to ethnic fractionalization or polarization.
  • The role of interpersonal population diversity in conflict emergence and severity requires further empirical investigation.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To empirically test the hypothesis that interpersonal population diversity, rather than ethnic fractionalization, is pivotal to intrasocietal conflicts.
  • To examine the long-term impact of ancient population diversity on contemporary civil conflicts.

Main Methods:

  • Utilizing an exogenous source of variation in population diversity rooted in early human migration patterns.
  • Analyzing the correlation between population diversity (both national and within ethnic groups) and the incidence and intensity of civil conflicts.

Main Results:

  • Interpersonal population diversity significantly contributes to the risk and intensity of historical and contemporary civil conflicts.
  • Population diversity's impact on diversity within ethnic groups is a key factor in conflict.
  • Findings suggest diversity contributes to societal non-cohesiveness, mistrust, and divergent policy preferences.

Conclusions:

  • Interpersonal population diversity is a more significant driver of intrasocietal conflict than ethnic fractionalization or polarization.
  • Ancient patterns of population diversity continue to influence modern conflict dynamics.
  • Addressing societal non-cohesiveness stemming from diversity is crucial for conflict prevention.