Deep Learning Assistance Closes the Accuracy Gap in Fracture Detection Across Clinician Types

Missed fractures are the most common diagnostic errors in musculoskeletal imaging and can result in treatment delays and preventable morbidity. Deep learning, a subfield of artificial intelligence, can be used to accurately detect fractures by training algorithms to emulate the judgments of expert clinicians. Deep learning systems that detect fractures are often limited to specific anatomic regions and require regulatory approval to be used in practice. Once these hurdles are overcome, deep learning systems have the potential to improve clinician diagnostic accuracy and patient care.

This study aimed to evaluate whether a Food and Drug Administration-cleared deep learning system that identifies fractures in adult musculoskeletal radiographs would improve diagnostic accuracy for fracture detection across different types of clinicians. Specifically, this study asked: (1) What are the trends in musculoskeletal radiograph interpretation by different clinician types in the publicly available Medicare claims data? (2) Does the deep learning system improve clinician accuracy in diagnosing fractures on radiographs and, if so, is there a greater benefit for clinicians with limited training in musculoskeletal imaging?

We used the publicly available Medicare Part B Physician/Supplier Procedure Summary data provided by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services to determine the trends in musculoskeletal radiograph interpretation by clinician type. In addition, we conducted a multiple-reader, multiple-case study to assess whether clinician accuracy in diagnosing fractures on radiographs was superior when aided by the deep learning system compared with when unaided. Twenty-four clinicians (radiologists, orthopaedic surgeons, physician assistants, primary care physicians, and emergency medicine physicians) with a median (range) of 16 years (2 to 37) of experience postresidency each assessed 175 unique musculoskeletal radiographic cases under aided and unaided conditions (4200 total case-physician pairs per condition). These cases were comprised of radiographs from 12 different anatomic regions (ankle, clavicle, elbow, femur, forearm, hip, humerus, knee, pelvis, shoulder, tibia and fibula, and wrist) and were randomly selected from 12 hospitals and healthcare centers. The gold standard for fracture diagnosis was the majority opinion of three US board-certified orthopaedic surgeons or radiologists who independently interpreted the case. The clinicians' diagnostic accuracy was determined by the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, sensitivity, and specificity. Secondary analyses evaluated the fracture miss rate (1-sensitivity) by clinicians with and without extensive training in musculoskeletal imaging.

Medicare claims data revealed that physician assistants showed the greatest increase in interpretation of musculoskeletal radiographs within the analyzed time period (2012 to 2018), although clinicians with extensive training in imaging (radiologists and orthopaedic surgeons) still interpreted the majority of the musculoskeletal radiographs. Clinicians aided by the deep learning system had higher accuracy diagnosing fractures in radiographs compared with when unaided (unaided AUC: 0.90 [95% CI 0.89 to 0.92]; aided AUC: 0.94 [95% CI 0.93 to 0.95]; difference in least square mean per the Dorfman, Berbaum, Metz model AUC: 0.04 [95% CI 0.01 to 0.07]; p < 0.01). Clinician sensitivity increased when aided compared with when unaided (aided: 90% [95% CI 88% to 92%]; unaided: 82% [95% CI 79% to 84%]), and specificity increased when aided compared with when unaided (aided: 92% [95% CI 91% to 93%]; unaided: 89% [95% CI 88% to 90%]). Clinicians with limited training in musculoskeletal imaging missed a higher percentage of fractures when unaided compared with radiologists (miss rate for clinicians with limited imaging training: 20% [95% CI 17% to 24%]; miss rate for radiologists: 14% [95% CI 9% to 19%]). However, when assisted by the deep learning system, clinicians with limited training in musculoskeletal imaging reduced their fracture miss rate, resulting in a similar miss rate to radiologists (miss rate for clinicians with limited imaging training: 9% [95% CI 7% to 12%]; miss rate for radiologists: 10% [95% CI 6% to 15%]).

Clinicians were more accurate at diagnosing fractures when aided by the deep learning system, particularly those clinicians with limited training in musculoskeletal image interpretation. Reducing the number of missed fractures may allow for improved patient care and increased patient mobility.

Level III, diagnostic study.