Detection of Asymptomatic Carotid Artery Stenosis through Machine Learning

Carotid artery disease, the pathological condition of carotid arteries, is considered as the most significant cause of cerebral events and stroke. Carotid artery disease is considered as an inflammatory process, which involves the deposition and accumulation of atherosclerotic plaque inside the carotid intima, resulting in the narrowing of the arteries. Carotid artery stenosis (CAS) is either symptomatic or asymptomatic and its presence and location is determined by different imaging modalities, such as the carotid duplex ultrasound, the computed tomography angiography, the magnetic resonance angiography (MRA) and the cerebral angiography. The aim of this study is to present a machine learning model for the diagnosis and identification of individuals of asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis, using as input typical health data. More specifically, the overall model is trained with typical demographics, clinical data, risk factors and medical treatment data and is able to classify the individuals into high risk (Class 1-CAS group) and low risk (Class 0-non CAS group) individuals. In the presented study, we implemented a statistical analysis to check the data quality and the distribution into the two classes. Different feature selection techniques, in combination with classification schemes were applied for the development of our machine learning model. The overall methodology has been trained and tested using 881 cases (443 subjects in low risk class and 438 in high risk class). The highest accuracy 0.82 and an area under curve 0.9 were achieved using the relief feature selection technique and the random forest classification scheme.