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Published on: September 16, 2015
Flexible use of confidence to guide advice requests
1Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
People flexibly adjust their behavior based on subjective confidence, using it to learn advisor quality when information is scarce and as a self-monitoring tool when advisor reliability is known.
Area of Science:
- Cognitive psychology
- Decision-making science
- Behavioral economics
Background:
- Subjective confidence significantly influences decision-making and information-seeking behaviors.
- The relationship between confidence and behavior is often assumed to be fixed, but context may alter this mapping.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate whether the link between confidence and seeking advice is context-dependent.
- To test if knowledge of advisor quality modulates the behavioral use of confidence.
Main Methods:
- Participants made perceptual judgments and chose between re-sampling evidence or seeking advice.
- Advisor reliability was manipulated (known vs. unknown) to assess its impact on confidence-behavior links.
- Behavioral choices (seeking advice vs. re-sampling) were analyzed in relation to subjective confidence levels.
Main Results:
- When advisor reliability was unknown, participants sought advice more with high confidence, learning advisor quality over time.
- When advisor reliability was known, participants sought advice more with low confidence, using it as a self-monitoring signal.
- Confidence served as a flexible tool, adapted to the specific informational context.
Conclusions:
- Confidence is not a fixed predictor of behavior but is flexibly deployed based on situational goals and information.
- Understanding the context-dependent nature of confidence is crucial for explaining human decision-making and learning.
- This research highlights the adaptive and goal-directed use of subjective confidence in real-world scenarios.
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