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Using remote sensing to quantify the additional climate benefits of California forest carbon offset projects
Shane R Coffield1, Cassandra D Vo1, Jonathan A Wang1
1Department of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, California, USA.
Global Change Biology
|September 12, 2022
Summary
California
Area of Science:
- Forestry and Climate Science
- Environmental Policy and Economics
Background:
- California aims for carbon neutrality by 2045, utilizing nature-based climate solutions.
- Improved Forest Management (IFM) projects are a primary source of carbon offsets in California's cap-and-trade program.
- The effectiveness of IFM projects under the California Air Resources Board's protocol requires evaluation as many reach their 10-year mark.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the effectiveness of California's IFM carbon offset projects.
- To evaluate carbon trends and harvest histories using remote sensing data.
- To identify best practices and suggest improvements for future IFM protocol revisions.
Main Methods:
- Utilized remote sensing-based datasets to analyze carbon trends and harvest histories.
- Compared 37 IFM projects with nearby control lands to quantify carbon accumulation and harvest rates.
- Evaluated changes relative to pre-project and pre-enrollment periods.
Main Results:
- Evidence suggests carbon accumulation in IFM projects has generally not been additional.
- Forests in northwestern California show consistent carbon accumulation regardless of project enrollment.
- Harvest rates did not decrease, and carbon accumulation did not increase on most project lands post-enrollment.
Conclusions:
- The current IFM protocol needs improvement to accurately measure and reward additionality.
- Geospatial analysis provides an independent framework for evaluating carbon offset program effectiveness.
- Continued improvement of data products will enhance the assessment of nature-based climate solutions.
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