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Evidence, probability and relative plausibility
Colin Aitken1, Franco Taroni2, Silvia Bozza3
1School of Mathematics, The University of Edinburgh, UK.
Abstract:
A comparison is made between probability and relative plausibility as approaches for the interpretation of evidence. It is argued that a probabilistic approach is capable of answering the criticisms of the proponents of relative plausibility. It is also shown that a probabilistic approach can answer the problem of overlapping where there is evidence that each side claims supports its theory of what happened.
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