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Space-time distribution of urinary incontinence outpatient production in men, Brazil, 2010-2019
Fernanda Vieira Nicolato1, Alfredo Chaoubah1, Maria do Socorro Lina van Keulen1
1Universidade Federal de Juiz de Fora, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Saúde Coletiva, Juiz de Fora, MG, Brasil.
Objetive:
To estimate the temporal trend and spatial distribution of urinary incontinence outpatient production in men in Brazil.
Methods:
This was an ecological time series study of Brazil and its regions, from 2010-2019, using data from the Brazilian National Health System Outpatient Information System. Prais-Winsten regression was used to analyze the temporal trend in Brazil as a whole and by region. The autoregressive integrated moving average model was used to forecast the trend until 2024.
Results:
In 2010, 3,457 outpatient appointments for urinary incontinence in men were registered, rising to 16,765 in 2019, revealing a rising temporal trend [annual percentage change = 50.37%; 95% confidence interval (95%IC) 37.54;63.62]; and a forecast of growth for the period 2020-2024 (final ARIMA model: 1, 1, 0). The spatial distribution of urinary incontinence rates varied between the country's macro-regions.
Conclusion:
There was a rising temporal trend in urinary incontinence outpatient production in men in Brazil between 2010-2019 with growth forecast until 2024. The highest rates occurred in the Southeast region and the highest increase was found in the Southern region.
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