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Evaluating the Use of Uncertainty Visualisations for Imputations of Data Missing At Random in Scatterplots
IEEE Transactions on Visualization and Computer Graphics
|September 27, 2022
Summary
Visualizing imputed data in exploratory data analysis (EDA) can reduce bias but may decrease precision. Different uncertainty representations impact user accuracy and confidence when analyzing datasets with missing values.
Area of Science:
- Data Visualization
- Human-Computer Interaction
- Statistical Analysis
Background:
- Real-world datasets frequently contain missing values, yet many exploratory data analysis (EDA) systems primarily visualize complete cases.
- This limitation can lead to biased analyses and flawed insights.
- Imputation techniques address missing data but introduce uncertainty, complicating visualization.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the impact of visualizing imputed data and imputation uncertainty on user bias and precision.
- To compare various uncertainty representations in scatterplots for tasks involving estimating averages and detecting trends.
- To assess user confidence in their analytical responses across different visualization methods.
Main Methods:
- A crowdsourced study involving 202 participants was conducted.
- Participants performed tasks of estimating averages and detecting trends using scatterplots with different imputation uncertainty visualizations (no imputation, mean, 95% confidence intervals, probability density plots, gradient intervals, hypothetical outcome plots).
- User bias, precision, and self-reported confidence were measured.
Main Results:
- For average estimation, uncertainty representations reduced bias but decreased precision compared to no imputation.
- For trend detection, only hypothetical outcome plots showed a potential to slightly reduce bias while increasing precision.
- Participants reported lower confidence across all uncertainty visualization conditions compared to the baseline (no imputation).
Conclusions:
- Visualizing imputation uncertainty presents trade-offs between bias reduction and precision maintenance.
- Hypothetical outcome plots may offer a nuanced approach for trend detection tasks.
- The choice of uncertainty visualization significantly influences user perception and analytical performance, especially with substantial missing data.
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