Incidence of attrition among early-career abdominal transplant surgeons

The prevalence of burnout and depression among abdominal transplant surgeons has been well described. However, the incidence of early-career transplant surgeons leaving the field is unknown. The objective of this study was to quantify the incidence of attrition among early-career abdominal transplant surgeons.

A custom database from the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network with encrypted surgeon-specific identifiers was queried for transplant surgeons who entered the field between 2008 and 2019. Surgeons who experienced attrition, defined as not completing a subsequent transplant after a minimum of 5, were identified. Surgeon-specific case volumes, case mix, and recipient outcomes were modeled to describe their association with attrition.

Between 2008 and 2018, 496 abdominal transplant surgeons entered the field and performed 76,465 transplant procedures. A total of 24.4% (n = 121) experienced attrition, with a median time to attrition of 2.75 years. Attrition surgeons completed fewer kidney (7 vs 21, P < .01), pancreas (0.52 vs 1.43, P < .01), and liver transplants (1 vs 4, P < .01) in their first year of practice. Attrition surgeons completed a smaller proportion of their transplant center's volume (9% vs 18%, P < .01) and were less likely to participate in pediatric transplants (26.5% vs 52.5%, P < .01) and living donor kidney transplants (64.5% vs 84.5%, P < .01). On multivariable analysis, performing fewer kidney (odds ratio: 0.98, 95% confidence interval: 0.98-0.99) and liver transplants (odds ratio: 0.98, 95% confidence interval: 0.97-0.98) by year 5 and completing a smaller proportion of their centers' volume (odds ratio: 0.96, 95% confidence interval: 0.94-0.98) were associated with attrition. Furthermore, attrition surgeons had worse allograft and patient survival for liver transplant recipients (both log-rank P < .01).

This investigation was the first to quantify the high incidence of attrition experienced by early-career abdominal transplant surgeons and its association with surgeon-specific case volumes, case mix, and worse recipient outcomes. These findings suggested the abdominal transplant workforce is struggling to retain their fellowship-trained surgeons.