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Published on: January 28, 2014
Endpoints for geroscience clinical trials: health outcomes, biomarkers, and biologic age
Steven R Cummings1,2, Stephen B Kritchevsky3
1San Francisco Coordinating Center, California Pacific Medical Center Research Institute, San Francisco, CA, USA. steven.cummings@ucsf.edu.
Abstract:
Treatments that target fundamental processes of aging are expected to delay several aging-related conditions simultaneously. Testing the efficacy of these treatments for potential anti-aging benefits will require clinical trials with endpoints that reflect the potential benefits of slowing processes of aging. There are several potential types of endpoints to capture the benefits of slowing a process of aging, and a consensus is needed to standardize and compare the results of these trials and to guide the analysis of observational data to support trial planning. Using biomarkers instead of clinical outcomes would substantially reduce the size and the duration of clinical trials. This requires validation of surrogate markers showing that treatment induced change in the marker reliably predicts the magnitude of change in the clinical outcome. The surrogate marker must also reflect the biological mechanism for the effect of treatment on the clinical outcome. "Biological age" is a superficially attractive marker for such trials. However, it is essential to establish that treatment induced change in biological age reliably predict the magnitude of benefits in the clinical outcome. Reaching consensus on clinical outcomes for geroscience trials and then validating potential surrogate biomarkers requires time, effort, and coordination that will be worthwhile to develop surrogate outcomes that can be trusted to efficiently test the value of many anti-aging treatments under development.
Insights
Developing anti-aging treatments requires standardized clinical trial endpoints. Consensus on reliable biomarkers, like biological age, is crucial for efficiently testing interventions and validating their effectiveness in slowing aging processes.
Area of Science:
- Gerontology
- Biomedical Gerontology
- Clinical Trial Design
Background:
- Interventions targeting fundamental aging processes aim to delay multiple age-related diseases.
- Clinical trials for anti-aging therapies need endpoints that accurately measure the benefits of slowing aging.
Purpose of the Study:
- To highlight the need for consensus on clinical outcomes and surrogate biomarkers for geroscience trials.
- To discuss the potential of biomarkers, such as biological age, to improve trial efficiency.
Main Methods:
- Review of current approaches to endpoint selection in aging research.
- Discussion on the requirements for validating surrogate biomarkers in clinical trials.
Main Results:
- Standardized clinical outcomes are necessary for comparing geroscience trial results.
- Biomarkers could reduce trial duration and size, but require rigorous validation.
Conclusions:
- Consensus on clinical outcomes and validated surrogate biomarkers is essential for advancing anti-aging research.
- Developing trusted surrogate outcomes will enable efficient testing of novel anti-aging treatments.
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