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The Association between the Fibrosis-4 Index and COVID-19: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
Guangyu Ao1, Anthony Li2, Jing Li1
1Department of Nephrology, Chengdu First People's Hospital, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
Insights
A high Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score indicates a greater risk of severe outcomes in COVID-19 patients. This meta-analysis confirms FIB-4 as a predictor of mortality and disease progression in COVID-19.
Area of Science:
- * Hepatology and Infectious Diseases
- * Clinical Prognostics and Biomarkers
Background:
- * The prognostic value of the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score in COVID-19 patients remains debated.
- * Accurate prediction of COVID-19 severity and mortality is crucial for patient management.
Approach:
- * Systematic review and meta-analysis of thirteen studies.
- * Inclusion of data from PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane databases.
- * Utilized fixed- or random-effects models to assess heterogeneity.
Key Points:
- * Higher FIB-4 index significantly correlated with increased odds of mortality (OR=5.1) and ICU admission (OR=2.32) in unadjusted analyses.
- * Adjusted analyses revealed higher FIB-4 index associated with increased risk of mortality (OR=3.01) and mechanical ventilation (OR=3.76).
- * Elevated FIB-4 scores consistently predicted worse outcomes across multiple studies.
Conclusions:
- * The Fibrosis-4 index is a valuable prognostic marker for COVID-19.
- * High FIB-4 scores are strongly associated with increased severity and mortality in COVID-19 patients.
- * FIB-4 can aid in identifying high-risk individuals requiring closer monitoring and intervention.
Objective:
The prognosis value of fibrosis-4 score (FIB-4) in COVID-19 is controversial. Hence, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to investigate the association between the FIB-4 index and COVID-19 disease progression.
Methods:
We performed meta-analysis using the PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane databases. A fixed- or random-effects model was used for evaluating heterogeneity.
Results:
Thirteen studies were included. The meta-analysis of unadjusted results showed that compared to lower FIB-4 index, patients with higher FIB-4 index had increased odds of mortality (OR=5.1, 95%CI 3.67-7.09; P<0.001), ICU admission (OR=2.32, 95%CI: 1.65-3.25, P<0.00001) and need for mechanical ventilator support (OR=3.51, 95%CI: 2.1-5.85, P<0.001). In addition, the meta-analysis of adjusted results showed patients with higher FIB-4 index was associated with increased risk of mortality (OR=3.01, 95%CI: 2.21-4.09, P<0.001) and need for mechanical ventilator support (OR=3.76, 95%CI: 2.08-6.82, P<0.001) compared to patients with lower FIB-4 index.
Conclusions:
This meta-analysis indicated that high FIB-4 index score was associated with the severity and mortality in COVID-19 infected patients.
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