Baseline risk markers and visit-to-visit variability in relation to kidney outcomes - A post-hoc analysis of the PERL

Viktor Rotbain Curovic1, Neil Roy2, Tine W Hansen1

  • 1Steno Diabetes Center Copenhagen, Herlev, Denmark.

Insights

Visit-to-visit variability in systolic blood pressure is a novel risk marker for kidney function decline in type 1 diabetes. This finding may aid in better risk stratification for diabetic kidney disease.

Area of Science:

  • Nephrology
  • Endocrinology
  • Clinical Trials

Background:

  • Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) is a major complication of type 1 diabetes (T1D).
  • Identifying early risk markers for kidney function decline is crucial for timely intervention.
  • Baseline risk variables and visit-to-visit variability (VV) in clinical parameters are potential predictors of DKD progression.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the association between baseline risk variables and VV of key clinical parameters with kidney function decline in T1D.
  • To identify novel, clinically feasible markers for risk stratification of DKD in T1D patients.

Main Methods:

  • Post-hoc analysis of a randomized, placebo-controlled trial of allopurinol in T1D patients with elevated uric acid.
  • Iohexol-derived glomerular filtration rate (iGFR) change over three years was the primary outcome.
  • Linear regression models were used to identify baseline predictors and assess the impact of VV (systolic blood pressure, HbA1c, serum creatinine, uric acid) on iGFR change.

Main Results:

  • Higher baseline HbA1c, systolic blood pressure (SBP), iGFR, albuminuria, heart rate, and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist use were associated with greater iGFR decline.
  • Increased visit-to-visit variability of SBP was significantly associated with a greater decline in iGFR (adjusted β: -0.79, p=0.01).
  • 404 participants were included in the primary analyses.

Conclusions:

  • Several baseline factors and, notably, SBP variability are identified as risk markers for accelerated kidney function decline in T1D.
  • Visit-to-visit variability in SBP presents a potential new, clinically accessible measure for risk stratification of DKD.
  • Further research is warranted to validate these findings and integrate them into clinical practice for T1D management.
Abstract

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