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Updated: Aug 23, 2025

Evaluating the Effectiveness of Cancer Drug Sensitization In Vitro and In Vivo
Published on: February 6, 2015
[Application of artificial intelligence for an early comparison of efficacy between new cancer drugs.]
Vera Damuzzo1, Melania Rivano2, Paolo Baldo3
1Dipartimento Politiche del Farmaco, Azienda ULSS 2 Marca Trevigiana, Treviso.
Introduction:
The clinical choice among recently approved cancer drugs is burdened by the absence of direct comparisons in terms of efficacy across these new agents. In this article we present the IPDfromKM method, an artificial intelligence (AI) application that aims to facilitate the analyses on efficacy based on secondary data.
Methods:
Seven therapeutic areas were selected in which at least three new agents were recently approved. Kaplan-Meier curves of related clinical trials were digitized. Then, the IPDfromKM method was employed to reconstruct patient-level survival data. This information allowed us to compare selected agents in each therapeutic area and to rank them in terms of efficacy.
Results:
We identified the most effective treatment in each of the seven selected therapeutic areas. In two cases, immunotherapies, sharing similar mechanisms of actions, were compared highlighting the most effective one. In the remaining cases, our comparison included also the standard of care, which proved to be superior to new agents in patients with osteosarcoma.
Discussion:
When randomized clinical trials are not available, indirect comparisons can be a valuable source of information. The experience described herein recommends the use of a new method endowed by two important advantages: remarkable speed of analysis and free access to computational tools. In assessing the place in therapy for newly developed agents, this approach can further promote the application of evidence-based principles.
Insights
The IPDfromKM method, an artificial intelligence tool, reconstructs patient survival data from digitized Kaplan-Meier curves. This enables rapid, indirect efficacy comparisons of new cancer drugs when direct trials are unavailable.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Biostatistics
- Artificial Intelligence in Medicine
Context:
- Direct comparative efficacy data for recently approved cancer drugs are often lacking.
- Clinical decision-making is challenged by the absence of head-to-head trials for novel oncological agents.
- Secondary data analysis is crucial for evaluating new cancer therapies.
Purpose:
- To introduce and validate the IPDfromKM method for reconstructing patient-level survival data from Kaplan-Meier curves.
- To facilitate indirect comparisons of efficacy among new cancer drugs across various therapeutic areas.
- To provide a tool for ranking the relative effectiveness of cancer treatments using secondary data.
Summary:
- The IPDfromKM method digitized Kaplan-Meier curves from seven therapeutic areas with multiple new drug approvals.
- Patient-level survival data were reconstructed, enabling efficacy comparisons and ranking of agents.
- The standard of care was found superior to new agents in osteosarcoma; immunotherapies were compared in other areas.
Impact:
- The IPDfromKM method offers a rapid and accessible approach for indirect treatment comparisons.
- This AI-driven tool supports evidence-based principles in assessing the place of new cancer drugs in therapy.
- Facilitates informed clinical choices when direct comparative trial data are absent.
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