The hypoglycaemia error grid: A UK-wide consensus on CGM accuracy assessment in hyperinsulinism

Continuous Glucose Monitoring (CGM) is gaining in popularity for patients with paediatric hypoglycaemia disorders such as Congenital Hyperinsulinism (CHI), but no standard measures of accuracy or associated clinical risk are available. The small number of prior assessments of CGM accuracy in CHI have thus been incomplete. We aimed to develop a novel Hypoglycaemia Error Grid (HEG) for CGM assessment for those with CHI based on expert consensus opinion applied to a large paired (CGM/blood glucose) dataset.

Paediatric endocrinology consultants regularly managing CHI in the two UK centres of excellence were asked to complete a questionnaire regarding glucose cutoffs and associated anticipated risks of CGM errors in a hypothetical model. Collated information was utilised to mathematically generate the HEG which was then approved by expert, consensus opinion. Ten patients with CHI underwent 12 weeks of monitoring with a Dexcom G6 CGM and self-monitored blood glucose (SMBG) with a Contour Next One glucometer to test application of the HEG and provide an assessment of accuracy for those with CHI.

CGM performance was suboptimal, based on 1441 paired values of CGM and SMBG showing Mean Absolute Relative Difference (MARD) of 19.3% and hypoglycaemia (glucose <3.5mmol/L (63mg/dL)) sensitivity of only 45%. The HEG provided clinical context to CGM errors with 15% classified as moderate risk by expert consensus when data was restricted to that of practical use. This provides a contrasting risk profile from existing diabetes error grids, reinforcing its utility in the clinical assessment of CGM accuracy in hypoglycaemia.

The Hypoglycaemia Error Grid, based on UK expert consensus opinion has demonstrated inadequate accuracy of CGM to recommend as a standalone tool for routine clinical use. However, suboptimal accuracy of CGM relative to SMBG does not detract from alternative uses of CGM in this patient group, such as use as a digital phenotyping tool. The HEG is freely available on GitHub for use by other researchers to assess accuracy in their patient populations and validate these findings.