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'Boden Food Plate': Novel Interactive Web-based Method for the Assessment of Dietary Intake

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Forecasting Food Innovations with a Delphi Study.

Alexis Zickafoose¹, Peng Lu¹, Mathew Baker¹

¹Department of Agricultural Leadership, Education, and Communications, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843, USA.

Foods (Basel, Switzerland)

|November 26, 2022

Summary

This summary is machine-generated.

Food innovations are defined as technologies promoting health, food security, and sustainability. Key future innovations include plant-based meats, personalized nutrition, and regenerative agriculture, driving agri-food industry growth.

Keywords:

development functional food health novel food novel technology qualitative study

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Area of Science:

Agricultural Science
Food Science
Nutrition Science

Background:

Food innovations offer opportunities for novel nutritious foods, enhanced agricultural sustainability, and increased agri-food industry profits.
Defining and forecasting food innovations is crucial for strategic development and investment within the agri-food sector.

Purpose of the Study:

To establish a consensus definition of food innovations.
To forecast key food innovations expected to reach consumers within the next five years.

Main Methods:

A Delphi study involving thirteen experts from the US and UK across agriculture, nutrition, public health, agri-food industry, and food policy.
Experts were selected via snowball sampling, and the study followed Rand Corporation's implementation and data analysis guidelines.
Three rounds of expert consultation were conducted to reach consensus on the definition and forecast of food innovations.

Main Results:

A consensus definition of food innovations was achieved: 'food innovations aid in the development, production, or transportation of new food products, processes, or technology to promote human health, food security, or environmental sustainability' (76.9% agreement).
Twelve specific food innovations were identified and ranked by expert consensus (over 69% agreement), including plant-based meat alternatives, personalized nutrition, natural foods, and regenerative agriculture.
Other forecasted innovations include new genetically modified organisms, urban agriculture, packing innovations, alternative flours, shelf-life improvement, supply chain technologies, improved soil health, and traceability technology.

Conclusions:

The consensus definition and identified innovations provide a framework for connecting the agricultural value chain.
These findings can guide the development of novel nutritious foods and enhance agricultural sustainability.
Agri-food stakeholders can leverage this research to advance food innovation development and targeted research efforts.