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Measuring the Subjective Value of Risky and Ambiguous Options using Experimental Economics and Functional MRI Methods
Published on: September 19, 2012
Does higher perceived risk of morbidity and mortality decrease risk-taking?
Mélusine Boon-Falleur1, Brigitte Dormont2, Coralie Chevallier1
1LNC², Département d'études cognitives, Ecole normale supérieure, Université PSL, INSERM, 75005 Paris, France.
People adapt their behavior to negative health shocks like COVID-19. Higher perceived risk of illness or death increases risk aversion and reduces patience, influencing decision-making.
Area of Science:
- Behavioral Economics
- Public Health
- Psychology
Background:
- Behavioral responses to negative shocks are documented.
- Optimal behavior is influenced by environmental mortality risk.
- The COVID-19 pandemic significantly altered daily life and perceived risks.
Purpose of the Study:
- Investigate how individuals perceive morbidity and mortality risks from COVID-19.
- Examine the impact of perceived risk on psychological traits like risk-taking and patience.
- Understand behavioral adaptations to health threats.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of a large survey (n=3353) during the first COVID-19 wave in France.
- Utilized a structural model to address endogeneity concerns.
- Assessed perception of morbidity and mortality risk based on local public information.
Main Results:
- Individuals use local COVID-19 death data to estimate personal risk.
- Increased perceived morbidity and mortality risk significantly raises risk aversion.
- Higher perceived risk correlates with decreased patience, particularly at elevated risk levels.
Conclusions:
- People adjust their behavior in anticipation of negative health shocks.
- Perceived COVID-19 risks influence psychological traits related to decision-making.
- Behavioral adaptations are a response to the threat of illness or death.
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