A clinical nomogram based on absolute count of lymphocyte subsets for predicting overall survival in patients with
Aqing Liu1, Guan Zhang1, Yanjie Yang1
1Department of Oncology, First Teaching Hospital of Tianjin University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, National Clinical Research Center for Chinese Medicine Acupuncture and Moxibustion, Tianjin, China; Graduate School, Tianjin University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Tianjin, China.
Background:
The absolute count of lymphocyte subsets (ACLS) is correlated to the prognosis of multiple malignancies. This study aimed to combine the ACLS with the clinicopathological parameters to develop a nomogram to accurately predict the prognosis of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients.
Methods:
This retrospective study included a training cohort (n = 1685) and validation cohort (n = 337) with NSCLC patients treated in First Teaching Hospital of Tianjin University of Traditional Chinese Medicine between January 2018 and January 2021. Cox regression were conducted to identify factors associated with overall survival. The nomogram was built based on 10 significant factors, and evaluated by the concordance index (C-index), calibration curve and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.
Results:
In the training cohort, the multivariate cox proportional hazard regression analysis showed that the independent factors for overall survival (OS) included age, brain metastases, hepatic metastases, respiratory system diseases, clinical stages, surgery, absolute count (AC) of CD3+, CD4+, CD8+, and NK cells, which were all applied in the nomogram. The C-index of the nomogram to predict OS was 0.777 (95% CI, 0.751-0.802) in training cohort and 0.822 (95% CI, 0.798-0.846) in validation cohort. The area under the ROC showed a good discriminative ability in both cohorts. Calibration curves presented an excellent consistence between the nomogram predicted probability and actual observation.
Conclusions:
We established a prognostic nomogram to predict OS of the NSCLC patient. This nomogram provided a more quantitative, scientific and objective basis for accurate diagnosis and individual management of NSCLC patients.
