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Prognosticating Mortality of Primary Cardiogenic Shock Requiring Extracorporeal Life Support: The RESCUE Score
Vincenzo Tarzia1, Lorenzo Bagozzi1, Matteo Ponzoni1
1Cardiac Surgery Unit, Department of Cardiac, Thoracic, Vascular Sciences, and Public Health, University of Padua, Padua, Italy.
Abstract:
We aimed to identify prognostic laboratory markers during extracorporeal life support (ECLS) in patients with primary refractory cardiogenic shock (RCS) and to create a preliminary specific mortality score. All 208 consecutive subjects admitted for primary RCS and treated with ECLS between January-2009 and December-2018 were retrospectively analyzed. Multivariate regression analysis on laboratory markers during the first nine days of ECLS was used to develop a "Refractory End-stage Shock CUred with Ecls" (RESCUE) score. Serum creatinine (OR = 3.72, 95%CI: 2.01-6.88), direct bilirubin (OR = 1.40, 95%CI: 1.05-1.8), and platelet count (OR = 0.62, 95%CI: 0.42-0.94) were independent predictors of in-hospital mortality and were included in the score. The mean AUC was 0.763 (95%CI: 0.698-0.828) in the development cohort and 0.729 (95%CI: 0.664-0.794) in the bootstrap internal validation cohort. The RESCUE score represents a novel promising instrument to predict early mortality during the first critical days of ECLS and to help in properly guiding the therapeutic decision-making process.
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