Mathematical Model of Triple-Negative Breast Cancer in Response to Combination Chemotherapies

Angelica A Davenport1, Yun Lu2,3, Carlos A Gallegos4

  • 1Department of Mathematics, Florida State University, 1017 Academic Way, Tallahassee, FL, 32304, USA. ad16z@fsu.edu.

Insights

This study developed a mathematical model to predict triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) treatment response. The model accurately describes tumor changes and necrosis, offering insights into combination chemotherapy strategies for TNBC.

Area of Science:

  • Computational Biology
  • Mathematical Oncology
  • Cancer Research

Background:

  • Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) lacks targeted receptors, limiting treatment options and leading to poor outcomes.
  • Combination chemotherapy is a cornerstone of TNBC treatment, but optimal strategies require further understanding.
  • Mathematical modeling offers a powerful tool to simulate tumor dynamics and treatment effects.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and parameterize a coupled ordinary differential equation model for TNBC.
  • To computationally describe the effects of doxorubicin (DRB) and paclitaxel (PTX) combination chemotherapy on TNBC.
  • To provide insights into treatment optimization and novel therapeutic combinations for TNBC.

Main Methods:

  • A mathematical model was constructed with compartments for tumor proliferation, necrosis, apoptosis, and immune response.
  • The model was parameterized using longitudinal [18F]-fluorothymidine positron emission tomography (FLT-PET) imaging data from two TNBC murine models (MDA-MB-231 and 4T1).
  • Model predictions of necrosis were validated with histological (H&E) data, and global sensitivity analysis was performed.

Main Results:

  • The mathematical model accurately described tumor volume changes and predicted final necrosis volume in both MDA-MB-231 and 4T1 models.
  • Sensitivity analysis identified key parameters influencing model fit to experimental data.
  • The model successfully captured tumor dynamics under combination chemotherapy.

Conclusions:

  • The developed mathematical model can accurately simulate TNBC response to doxorubicin and paclitaxel combination chemotherapy.
  • This model provides valuable insights for optimizing treatment timing, dosing, and sequencing for TNBC.
  • The model's ability to incorporate immune response and its validation in two distinct TNBC models suggest potential for predicting novel therapy combinations.