Electrocardiographic parameters associated with pacemaker induced cardiomyopathy

Chronic right ventricular (RV) pacing can induce left ventricular (LV) dyssynchrony and cause pacemaker induced cardiomyopathy (PiCM). Identifying which patients are at risk for PiCM is limited.

Patients receiving RV-only permanent pacemakers (PPMs) at Duke University Medical Center between 2011 and 2017 who had normal baseline ejection fractions (EFs) were identified. Patients who developed a subsequent decrease in EF, died, or underwent cardiac resynchronization therapy, left ventricular assist device, or heart transplant without a competing cause were considered as the primary endpoint. Pre-PPM and post-PPM electrocardiograms (ECGs) were analyzed to extract scalar measurements including the lead one ratio (LOR) as well as advanced-ECG (A-ECG) features to identify predictors of PiCM. Traditional and penalized Cox regression were used to identify variables predictive of the primary endpoint.

Pre-PPM ECGs were evaluated for 404 patients of whom 140 (35%) experienced the primary endpoint. Predictors included female sex (hazard ratio [HR] 1.14), a T' wave in V6 (HR 1.31), a P' wave in aVL (HR 0.88), and estimated glomerular filtration rate (HR 0.88). Post-PPM ECGs were evaluated for 228 patients for whom 94 (41%) experienced the primary endpoint. Predictors included female sex (HR 0.50), age (HR 1.06), and a history of congestive heart failure (HR 1.63). Neither LOR nor A-ECG parameters were strong predictors of the primary endpoint.

Baseline and paced ECG data provide limited insight into which patients are at high risk for developing PiCM.