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Relative risk (RR) is a statistical measure commonly used in epidemiology to compare the likelihood of a particular event occurring between two groups. This metric is important for evaluating the relationship between exposure to a specific risk factor and the probability of a particular outcome. It plays a crucial role in medical research, public health studies, and risk assessment. Relative risk quantifies how much more (or less) likely an event is to occur in an exposed group compared to an...
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The vertical distance between the actual value of y and the estimated value of y. In other words, it measures the vertical distance between the actual data point and the predicted point on the line
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Comparing community mobility reduction between first and second COVID-19 waves.

Gabriela Cavalcante da Silva1, Fernanda Monteiro de Almeida1, Sabrina Oliveira2

  • 1IMD, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN), Brazil.

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|December 26, 2022
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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Mobility reduction rates during the first COVID-19 wave were higher than the second. Some areas saw pre-pandemic mobility levels during holidays, with Manaus being an exception due to the P1 variant.

Keywords:
COVID-19Google community mobility reportsSocial distancing

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Area of Science:

  • Epidemiology
  • Public Health
  • Data Science

Background:

  • Compares mobility reduction rates between the first and second COVID-19 waves across American and European localities.
  • Utilizes Google Community Mobility Reports (CMR) data for analysis.
  • Examines mobility changes during lockdown periods considering multiple place categories.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To compare mobility reduction rates during the first and second COVID-19 waves.
  • To analyze lockdown impacts on mobility across different geographical locations and place categories.
  • To identify trends and variations in population movement patterns during the pandemic.

Main Methods:

  • Employs locality-wise calibrated CMR data.
  • Applies seasonal-trend decomposition by LOESS (STL) to isolate trends.
  • Uses radar charts and area under the curve (AUC) for data aggregation and analysis.

Main Results:

  • First wave mobility reductions were generally higher than the second wave.
  • Some localities experienced pre-pandemic mobility levels during holiday seasons.
  • Manaus showed significant mobility reduction in the second wave, potentially due to the P1 variant and oxygen crisis.

Conclusions:

  • Mobility reduction effectiveness varied significantly between the first and second COVID-19 waves.
  • Holiday seasons posed challenges to maintaining reduced mobility.
  • Specific variants and local crises, like in Manaus, can influence mobility patterns independently of general trends.