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Identifying the implementation effect of technology transfer policy using system dynamics: a case study in Liaoning,
Zhenxu Guo1, Jiarui Shen2, Lihong Li2
1School of Civil Engineering, Central South University, 22 Shaoshan South Road, Tianxin District, Changsha, 410083 People's Republic of China.
This study analyzes technology transfer policy (TTP) implementation effects using a system dynamics model. Findings reveal how different policy tools impact research, transfer, and industrialization stages, guiding improvements for economic development.
Area of Science:
- Economics
- Policy Analysis
- Innovation Studies
Background:
- Technology transfer policy (TTP) is crucial for national economic development.
- The effectiveness of existing TTP implementation requires clarification.
- Academia and industry show increasing interest in TTP.
Purpose of the Study:
- To systematically analyze TTP tools and implementation stages.
- To build a conceptual framework of TTP's influence path.
- To quantitatively model and predict TTP implementation effects.
Main Methods:
- Systematic analysis of policy content and implementation stages.
- Development of a qualitative conceptual framework.
- Construction of a quantitative system dynamics (SD) model with feedback loops.
- Simulation and sensitivity analysis using Vensim PLE software.
Main Results:
- Different policy tools exhibit varied roles across research, transfer, and industrialization phases.
- The developed SD model accurately predicts TTP implementation effects.
- Simulation and sensitivity analysis offer practical insights for policy enhancement.
Conclusions:
- The study provides a systematic framework for understanding TTP implementation.
- Results offer practical guidance for government departments to optimize TTP.
- New research avenues are suggested for improving TTP effectiveness.
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