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Numerical methods and hypoexponential approximations for gamma distributed delay differential equations.

Tyler Cassidy1, Peter Gillich2, Antony R Humphries3

  • 1Theoretical Biology and Biophysics, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545, USA.

IMA Journal of Applied Mathematics
|January 24, 2023
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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

New numerical methods for gamma distributed delay differential equations (DDEs) offer improved accuracy. A functional continuous Runge-Kutta method and a hypoexponential approximation overcome limitations of existing Erlang approximations for DDE modeling.

Keywords:
delay differential equationsfunctional continuous Runge–Kutta methodsinfinite delay equationlinear chain trick

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Area of Science:

  • Mathematical modeling
  • Numerical analysis
  • Computational mathematics

Background:

  • Gamma distributed delay differential equations (DDEs) are crucial in various modeling applications.
  • Existing numerical methods often rely on approximations like the Erlang distribution, which can lead to inaccuracies.
  • There is a need for more accurate and robust numerical techniques for gamma distributed DDEs.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and validate novel numerical methods for gamma distributed DDEs.
  • To address the limitations of the common Erlang approximation in DDE modeling.
  • To introduce a more accurate hypoexponential approximation for gamma distributed DDEs.

Main Methods:

  • Development of a fourth-order accurate functional continuous Runge-Kutta (FCRK) method for direct integration of gamma distributed DDEs.
  • Derivation of a hypoexponential approximation for gamma distributed DDEs, enabling solution via standard ordinary differential equation (ODE) solvers.
  • Comparison of solutions obtained from FCRK, hypoexponential approximation, and the traditional Erlang approximation using reference solutions.

Main Results:

  • The FCRK method demonstrates fourth-order convergence and high accuracy for gamma distributed DDEs.
  • The common Erlang approximation can yield qualitatively different solutions compared to the underlying gamma distributed DDE.
  • The proposed hypoexponential approximation provides a more accurate representation of gamma distributed DDEs without the limitations of the Erlang method.
  • The hypoexponential approximation was successfully applied to statistical inference on synthetic epidemiological data.

Conclusions:

  • The developed FCRK method and hypoexponential approximation offer significant improvements for modeling with gamma distributed DDEs.
  • The hypoexponential approximation is a superior alternative to the Erlang approximation for accurately solving gamma distributed DDEs.
  • These new methods enhance the reliability of DDE-based modeling in fields like epidemiology.