Learned Reconstruction of Protein Folding Trajectories from Noisy Single-Molecule Time Series

Single-molecule Förster resonance energy transfer (smFRET) is an experimental methodology to track the real-time dynamics of molecules using fluorescent probes to follow one or more intramolecular distances. These distances provide a low-dimensional representation of the full atomistic dynamics. Under mild technical conditions, Takens' Delay Embedding Theorem guarantees that the full three-dimensional atomistic dynamics of a system are diffeomorphic (i.e., related by a smooth and invertible transformation) to a time-delayed embedding of one or more scalar observables. Appealing to these theoretical guarantees, we employ manifold learning, artificial neural networks, and statistical mechanics to learn from molecular simulation training data the a priori unknown transformation between the atomic coordinates and delay-embedded intramolecular distances accessible to smFRET. This learned transformation may then be used to reconstruct atomistic coordinates from smFRET time series data. We term this approach Single-molecule TAkens Reconstruction (STAR). We have previously applied STAR to reconstruct molecular configurations of a C₂₄H₅₀ polymer chain and the mini-protein Chignolin with accuracies better than 0.2 nm from simulated smFRET data under noise free and high time resolution conditions. In the present work, we investigate the role of signal-to-noise ratio, data volume, and time resolution in simulated smFRET data to assess the performance of STAR under conditions more representative of experimental realities. We show that STAR can reconstruct the Chignolin and Villin mini-proteins to accuracies of 0.12 and 0.42 nm, respectively, and place bounds on these conditions for accurate reconstructions. These results demonstrate that it is possible to reconstruct dynamical trajectories of protein folding from time series in noisy, time binned, experimentally measurable observables and lay the foundations for the application of STAR to real experimental data.