A Distributional Model of Bound Ligand Conformational Strain: From Small Molecules up to Large Peptidic Macrocycles

The internal conformational strain incurred by ligands upon binding a target site has a critical impact on binding affinity, and expectations about the magnitude of ligand strain guide conformational search protocols. Estimates for bound ligand strain begin with modeled ligand atomic coordinates from X-ray co-crystal structures. By deriving low-energy conformational ensembles to fit X-ray diffraction data, calculated strain energies are substantially reduced compared with prior approaches. We show that the distribution of expected global strain energy values is dependent on molecular size in a superlinear manner. The distribution of strain energy follows a rectified normal distribution whose mean and variance are related to conformational complexity. The modeled strain distribution closely matches calculated strain values from experimental data comprising over 3000 protein-ligand complexes. The distributional model has direct implications for conformational search protocols as well as for directions in molecular design.