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Interactive Combinations Between Gait Speed and Physical Function at Acute Phase Can Predict the Physical Activity at
Gakuto Kitamura1, Manabu Nankaku1, Takuma Yuri1
1Rehabilitation Unit, Kyoto University Hospital, Kyoto, Japan.
Objective:
To clarify the interactive combinations of various clinical factors associated with physical activity (PA) at 2 years after total knee arthroplasty (TKA) using classification and regression tree (CART) analysis.
Design:
A retrospective cohort study.
Setting:
A single university hospital.
Participants:
286 patients who underwent TKA (N=286).
Main Outcome Measures:
PA was assessed preoperatively, 3 weeks, and 2 years after TKA. Physical functions, namely, 10 m walking test (10MWT), timed Up and Go test, 1-leg standing time, isometric knee extension and flexion strength, knee joint stability, knee pain, femora-tibial angle, and the passive knee extension and flexion angle, were measured before surgery as a baseline and 3 weeks after TKA as acute phase. CART analysis was conducted to clarify the interactive combinations that accurately predict the PA at 2 years after TKA.
Results:
The results of CART analysis indicated that gait speed (≥1.05 m/s) at the acute phase after TKA was the primal predictor for the postoperative PA at 2 years. The highest postoperative PA at 2 years was determined by gait speed (≥1.05 m/s) and PA (>74.5) at the acute phase. The PA at baseline and at acute phase, as well as the body mass index were also selected as predictors of postoperative PA at 2 years.
Conclusion:
The present study suggested that acquiring gait speed (≥1.05 m/s) and PA (>74.5) in the postoperative acute phase is the predictive of a high PA at 2 years after TKA.

