A biochemical necroptosis model explains cell-type-specific responses to cell death cues

Necroptosis is a form of regulated cell death associated with degenerative disorders, autoimmune and inflammatory diseases, and cancer. To better understand the biochemical mechanisms regulating necroptosis, we constructed a detailed computational model of tumor necrosis factor-induced necroptosis based on known molecular interactions from the literature. Intracellular protein levels, used as model inputs, were quantified using label-free mass spectrometry, and the model was calibrated using Bayesian parameter inference to experimental protein time course data from a well-established necroptosis-executing cell line. The calibrated model reproduced the dynamics of phosphorylated mixed lineage kinase domain-like protein, an established necroptosis reporter. A subsequent dynamical systems analysis identified four distinct modes of necroptosis signal execution, distinguished by rate constant values and the roles of the RIP1 deubiquitinating enzymes A20 and CYLD. In one case, A20 and CYLD both contribute to RIP1 deubiquitination, in another RIP1 deubiquitination is driven exclusively by CYLD, and in two modes either A20 or CYLD acts as the driver with the other enzyme, counterintuitively, inhibiting necroptosis. We also performed sensitivity analyses of initial protein concentrations and rate constants to identify potential targets for modulating necroptosis sensitivity within each mode. We conclude by associating numerous contrasting and, in some cases, counterintuitive experimental results reported in the literature with one or more of the model-predicted modes of necroptosis execution. In all, we demonstrate that a consensus pathway model of tumor necrosis factor-induced necroptosis can provide insights into unresolved controversies regarding the molecular mechanisms driving necroptosis execution in numerous cell types under different experimental conditions.