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Serum Krebs von den Lungen-6 for Predicting the Severity of COVID-19: A Systematic Review, Meta-Analysis, and Trial
Abhigan Babu Shrestha1, Pashupati Pokharel2, Harendra Singh3
1Department of Internal Medicine, M Abdur Rahim Medical College, Dinajpur, Bangladesh.
Insights
Serum Krebs von den Lungen-6 (KL-6) shows a moderate association with COVID-19 severity. However, its low sensitivity means it is not recommended for screening severe Coronavirus disease 2019 infections.
Area of Science:
- Biochemistry
- Pulmonology
- Infectious Diseases
Background:
- Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a global health crisis.
- Identifying biomarkers for COVID-19 severity is crucial for patient management.
- Krebs von den Lungen-6 (KL-6) is a biomarker associated with lung injury.
Purpose of the Study:
- To systematically review and meta-analyze the association between serum KL-6 levels and COVID-19 severity.
- To evaluate the diagnostic performance of KL-6 for severe COVID-19.
Main Methods:
- Systematic literature search of Embase, PubMed, Web of Science, Science Direct, and Google Scholar (Jan 2020–Sep 2022).
- Meta-analysis of 12 studies including 497 severe and 934 non-severe COVID-19 patients.
- Calculation of standard mean difference (SMD), sensitivity, specificity, likelihood ratios, and summary receiver operating characteristic (sROC) curve.
- Trial Sequential Analysis (TSA) for validation.
Main Results:
- Serum KL-6 levels were significantly associated with COVID-19 severity (SMD = 1.18, 95% CI: 0.93–1.43, p = 0.01).
- Pooled diagnostic parameters showed sensitivity of 0.53 (95% CI: 0.47–0.59) and specificity of 0.90 (95% CI: 0.88–0.93).
- The area under the sROC curve was 0.8841, and TSA confirmed the robustness of the findings.
Conclusions:
- Serum KL-6 demonstrates a moderate correlation with COVID-19 severity.
- Despite good specificity, the low sensitivity of KL-6 limits its utility as a screening tool for severe COVID-19.
- Further research may explore KL-6 in conjunction with other biomarkers for improved diagnostic accuracy.
Objective:
This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to find the association between serum Krebs von den Lungen-6 (KL-6) and the severity of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection.
Data Sources:
Databases of Embase, PubMed, Web of Science, Science Direct, and Google Scholar were searched for studies reporting KL-6 levels in COVID-19 patients, published between January 2020 and September 30 2022.
Data Synthesis:
For comparison between the groups, standard mean difference (SMD) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were computed as the effect sizes. Sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio (PLR), and negative likelihood ratio (NLR) were measured to assess the diagnostic power of KL-6. In addition, the summary receiver operating characteristics curve (sROC) was constructed to summarize the true positive (TP), and false positive (FP) rates. To validate the findings of meta-analysis, Trial Sequential Analysis (TSA) was conducted.
Results:
Altogether 497 severe COVID-19 patients and 934 non-severe (mild to moderate) COVID-19 patients were included. Pooling of 12 studies indicated that the serum KL-6 level had significant association with severity of COVID-19 infection: standard mean difference = 1.18 (95% CI: 0.93-1.43), p = 0.01; I2: 58.56%]. Pooled diagnostic parameters calculated from eight studies were: sensitivity 0.53 (95% CI: 0.47-0.59); specificity 0.90 (95% CI: 0.88-0.93); positive likelihood ratio 4.80 (95% CI: 3.53-6.53); negative likelihood ratio 0.46 (95% CI: 0.32-0.68); and area under curve: 0.8841. Additionally, TSA verified the adequacy of sample size and robustness of the meta-analysis.
Conclusion:
Serum KL-6 level has a moderate degree of correlation with the severity of COVID-19 infection but has low sensitivity. So, it is not recommended as a screening test for severe COVID-19 infection.
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